Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MJ Santner, Men's T20I

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 107.7, 22.3 below their strike rate of 130.0 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 365 balls faced.
Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence
Batting first: average of 16.9, 4.6 below their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 440 balls faced.
Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 19.6, 1.8 below their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 365 balls faced.
Sample: 365 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 20.1, 1.4 below their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 370 balls faced.
Sample: 370 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 22.7, 1.3 above their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 473 balls faced.
Sample: 473 balls · high confidence
Chasing: average of 29.2, 7.7 above their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 403 balls faced.
Sample: 403 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 24.6, 3.1 above their average of 21.5 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 262 balls faced.
Sample: 262 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 8.12, 0.94 above their economy of 7.18 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 679 balls bowled.
Sample: 679 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 20.4, 2.4 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 679 balls bowled.
Sample: 679 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 19.0, 3.9 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 253 balls bowled.
Sample: 253 balls · low confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 11.6, 7.5 below their strike rate of 19.1 on all balls bowled (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -15%) — 302 balls bowled.
Sample: 302 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 19.1, 3.7 below their average of 22.9 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 276 balls bowled.
Sample: 276 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	240	329	15	21.93	137.08	34.6%	17.9%
Left-arm fast-medium	124	147	9	16.33	118.55	31.5%	8.9%
Right-arm fast	110	119	8	14.88	108.18	41.8%	10.9%
Leg break	108	163	5	32.60	150.93	34.3%	19.4%
Right-arm medium	89	133	4	33.25	149.44	38.2%	22.5%
Off break	76	79	4	19.75	103.95	34.2%	9.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	414	639	29	22.03

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,204	2,533	106	23.90	6.90	20.8	38.2%	11.7%
Left-handed batters	679	919	45	20.42	8.12	15.1	35.1%	14.3%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	2,098	2,488	102	24.39	7.12	20.6	34.8%	11.0%
Powerplay (1-6)	486	559	23	24.30	6.90	21.1	51.0%	16.9%
Death (16-20)	302	406	26	15.62	8.07	11.6	34.8%	13.6%