Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

MR Adair, Men's T20I

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 105.0, 24.6 below their strike rate of 129.6 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 238 balls faced.
Sample: 238 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 15.5, 2.2 below their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 344 balls faced.
Sample: 344 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 27.9, 10.2 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 236 balls faced.
Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 25.0, 7.3 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 238 balls faced.
Sample: 238 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 141.9, 12.3 above their strike rate of 129.6 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 30% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 236 balls faced.
Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 25.3, 7.6 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 170 balls faced.
Sample: 170 balls · low confidence
Ireland: average of 25.3, 7.6 above their average of 17.7 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 170 balls faced.
Sample: 170 balls · low confidence

Death (16-20): economy of 9.32, 1.55 above their economy of 7.78 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 755 balls bowled.
Sample: 755 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 21.0, 5.6 above their strike rate of 15.4 on all balls bowled (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 1008 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,008 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): economy of 6.52, 1.25 below their economy of 7.78 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1008 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,008 balls · high confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 11.1, 4.3 below their strike rate of 15.4 on all balls bowled (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -15%) — 755 balls bowled.
Sample: 755 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 15.0, 5.0 below their average of 20.0 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 455 balls bowled.
Sample: 455 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 18.3, 1.7 below their average of 20.0 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 524 balls bowled.
Sample: 524 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 13.1, 6.9 below their average of 20.0 on all balls bowled (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 256 balls bowled.
Sample: 256 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	236	335	12	27.92	141.95	34.3%	17.8%
Slow left-arm orthodox	83	98	4	24.50	118.07	42.2%	14.5%
Leg break	72	100	7	14.29	138.89	36.1%	16.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	71	98	6	16.33	138.03	31.0%	14.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	386	554	36	15.39	143.52	33.7%	16.8%
Middle (7-15)	238	250	10	25.00	105.04	41.6%	11.3%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,422	1,863	91	20.47	7.86	15.6	40.3%	16.7%
Left-handed batters	524	660	36	18.33	7.56	14.6	40.6%	15.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-6)	1,008	1,096	48	22.83	6.52	21.0	49.0%	14.8%
Death (16-20)	755	1,173	68	17.25	9.32	11.1	31.5%	19.1%
Middle (7-15)	214	293	12	24.42	8.21	17.8	30.4%	15.0%