Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Nida Dar, Women's T20I

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 14, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 483 balls faced.
Sample: 483 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 83.4, 19.6 below their strike rate of 103.0 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 289 balls faced.
Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence
Death (16-20): average of 15.9, 4.6 below their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 454 balls faced.
Sample: 454 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 19.0, 1.4 below their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1126 balls faced.
Sample: 1,126 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 16.1, 4.3 below their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 289 balls faced.
Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence
Leg break: average of 16.5, 3.9 below their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 292 balls faced.
Sample: 292 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 24, 4 above their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1257 balls faced.
Sample: 1,257 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 31.2, 10.8 above their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 341 balls faced.
Sample: 341 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 30.4, 10.0 above their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 227 balls faced.
Sample: 227 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 24.0, 3.6 above their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1099 balls faced.
Sample: 1,099 balls · high confidence
Right-arm medium: strike rate of 113.0, 10.0 above their strike rate of 103.0 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 392 balls faced.
Sample: 392 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 28.1, 7.7 above their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 261 balls faced.
Sample: 261 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 28.2, 7.7 above their average of 20.4 on all balls faced (+38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 272 balls faced.
Sample: 272 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 23.2, 1.1 above their average of 22.1 on all balls bowled (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2113 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,113 balls · high confidence
Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 46.0, 23.8 above their strike rate of 22.2 on all balls bowled (+107%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 414 balls bowled.
Sample: 414 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 36.7, 14.6 above their average of 22.1 on all balls bowled (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +9%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): strike rate of 25.7, 3.5 above their strike rate of 22.2 on all balls bowled (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 1516 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,516 balls · high confidence
Pakistan: average of 30.7, 8.6 above their average of 22.1 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -7%) — 464 balls bowled.
Sample: 464 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 30.7, 8.6 above their average of 22.1 on all balls bowled (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 464 balls bowled.
Sample: 464 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (7-15): economy of 5.48, 0.50 below their economy of 5.97 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1516 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,516 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 19.8, 2.3 below their average of 22.1 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1737 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,737 balls · high confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 12.5, 9.7 below their strike rate of 22.2 on all balls bowled (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -16%) — 537 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Off break	437	469	21	22.33	107.32	36.6%	10.5%
Right-arm medium	392	443	19	23.32	113.01	38.8%	14.0%
Leg break	292	314	19	16.53	107.53	36.3%	10.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	289	241	15	16.07	83.39	41.5%	6.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	227	213	7	30.43	93.83	36.1%	7.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	1,099	1,154	48	24.04	105.00	37.6%	11.0%
Death (16-20)	454	539	34	15.85

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,113	2,180	94	23.19	6.19	22.5	40.7%	9.7%
Left-handed batters	354	276	17	16.24	4.68	20.8	50.8%	5.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	1,516	1,384	59	23.46	5.48	25.7	42.2%	7.1%
Death (16-20)	537	635	43	14.77	7.09	12.5	35.8%	11.2%
Powerplay (1-6)	414	437	9	48.56	6.33	46.0	50.2%	14.3%