Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

NLTC Perera, Men's T20I

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 130.2, 21.5 below their strike rate of 151.7 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 368 balls faced.
Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 17.6, 7.2 below their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 234 balls faced.
Sample: 234 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 21.8, 3.1 below their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 368 balls faced.
Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 21.0, 3.8 below their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 260 balls faced.
Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 21.0, 3.8 below their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 260 balls faced.
Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 28.4, 3.6 above their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 552 balls faced.
Sample: 552 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 38.1, 13.2 above their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 289 balls faced.
Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence
Death (16-20): average of 26.4, 1.5 above their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 379 balls faced.
Sample: 379 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 171.3, 19.6 above their strike rate of 151.7 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 289 balls faced.
Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence
Bangladesh: average of 47.8, 23.0 above their average of 24.8 on all balls faced (+92%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 154 balls faced.
Sample: 154 balls · low confidence

No bowling weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Middle (7-15): economy of 8.67, 0.70 below their economy of 9.37 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 606 balls bowled.
Sample: 606 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 22.8, 12.3 below their average of 35.1 on all balls bowled (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 294 balls bowled.
Sample: 294 balls · low confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 13.9, 8.6 below their strike rate of 22.5 on all balls bowled (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -15%) — 292 balls bowled.
Sample: 292 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	289	495	13	38.08	171.28	28.0%	23.2%
Right-arm fast	105	169	7	24.14	160.95	35.2%	24.8%
Off break	103	110	8	13.75	106.80	41.7%	8.7%
Left-arm fast-medium	99	165	6	27.50	166.67	28.3%	23.2%
Leg break	68	109	5	21.80	160.29	29.4%	19.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	379	659	25	26.36	173.88	28.0%	23.0%
Middle (7-15)	368	479	22	21.77

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	805	1,229	34	36.15	9.16	23.7	28.4%	19.3%
Left-handed batters	273	455	14	32.50	10.00	19.5	26.4%	20.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	606	876	25	35.04	8.67	24.2	27.6%	16.7%
Death (16-20)	292	532	21	25.33	10.93	13.9	21.2%	22.6%
Powerplay (1-6)	180	276	2	138.00	9.20	90.0	40.0%	24.4%