Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 8.0, 7.9 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 235 balls faced.

Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 14.5, 1.3 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 451 balls faced.

Sample: 451 balls · high confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 13.0, 2.9 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 327 balls faced.

Sample: 327 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 17, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 385 balls faced.

Sample: 385 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 8.4, 7.5 below their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Off break: strike rate of 63.0, 6.8 below their strike rate of 69.8 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 23.1, 7.2 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 626 balls faced.

Sample: 626 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 33, 10 above their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 591 balls faced.

Sample: 591 balls · high confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 23.4, 7.6 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 476 balls faced.

Sample: 476 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): average of 20.0, 4.1 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 660 balls faced.

Sample: 660 balls · high confidence

Chasing: average of 17.1, 1.2 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 549 balls faced.

Sample: 549 balls · high confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 75.5, 5.7 above their strike rate of 69.8 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 327 balls faced.

Sample: 327 balls · medium confidence

Nepal: average of 22.2, 6.4 above their average of 15.9 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 153 balls faced.

Sample: 153 balls · low confidence