Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

R Shepherd, Men's T20I

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 124.4, 22.8 below their strike rate of 147.3 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 270 balls faced.
Sample: 270 balls · medium confidence
Chasing: average of 23.1, 6.6 below their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 293 balls faced.
Sample: 293 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 26.0, 3.7 below their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 274 balls faced.
Sample: 274 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 20.8, 8.9 below their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 182 balls faced.
Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 34.8, 5.1 above their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 459 balls faced.
Sample: 459 balls · high confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 25, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 20 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 520 balls faced.
Sample: 520 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 38.1, 8.5 above their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 352 balls faced.
Sample: 352 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 32.6, 2.9 above their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 371 balls faced.
Sample: 371 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 192.2, 44.9 above their strike rate of 147.3 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: average of 45.6, 15.9 above their average of 29.7 on all balls faced (+54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 166 balls faced.
Sample: 166 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 21.1, 3.8 above their strike rate of 17.3 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 676 balls bowled.
Sample: 676 balls · medium confidence
Powerplay (1-6): strike rate of 24.9, 7.6 above their strike rate of 17.3 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 324 balls bowled.
Sample: 324 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Middle (7-15): economy of 9.35, 0.83 below their economy of 10.17 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 676 balls bowled.
Sample: 676 balls · medium confidence
Death (16-20): strike rate of 11.4, 6.0 below their strike rate of 17.3 on all balls bowled (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -15%) — 420 balls bowled.
Sample: 420 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	166	319	7	45.57	192.17	28.9%	27.7%
Right-arm fast	110	165	4	41.25	150.00	31.8%	20.0%
Leg break	106	145	6	24.17	136.79	49.1%	17.9%
Left-arm fast-medium	87	129	5	25.80	148.28	34.5%	18.4%
Right-arm medium	67	49	3	16.33	73.13	50.7%	7.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Death (16-20)	373	612	21	29.14	164.08	31.9%	22.0%
Middle (7-15)	270	336	11	30.55

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	889	1,518	51	29.76	10.25	17.4	28.7%	22.3%
Left-handed batters	531	890	31	28.71	10.06	17.1	27.5%	22.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	676	1,053	32	32.91	9.35	21.1	28.8%	19.1%
Death (16-20)	420	792	37	21.41	11.31	11.4	25.5%	23.8%
Powerplay (1-6)	324	563	13	43.31	10.43	24.9	30.6%	27.2%