Plans built only from the evidence.

Pace: average of 21.4, 2.9 below their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 254 balls faced.

Sample: 254 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 36.1, 11.8 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 230 balls faced.

Sample: 230 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 26.9, 2.6 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 351 balls faced.

Sample: 351 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 40.8, 16.6 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 170 balls faced.

Sample: 170 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 31.4, 7.1 above their average of 24.3 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence