Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Saad Bin Zafar, Men's T20I

Batting first: average of 24.2, 3.5 below their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 267 balls faced.
Sample: 267 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): strike rate of 95.1, 30.2 below their strike rate of 125.3 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 204 balls faced.
Sample: 204 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 31, 9 above their balls per dismissal of 22 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 310 balls faced.
Sample: 310 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 31.4, 3.7 above their average of 27.7 on all balls faced (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 221 balls faced.
Sample: 221 balls · low confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 22.5, 4.0 above their strike rate of 18.5 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 1014 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,014 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 16.3, 2.7 below their average of 19.0 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 450 balls bowled.
Sample: 450 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm medium	97	153	5	30.60	157.73	24.7%	20.6%
Slow left-arm orthodox	62	39	2	19.50	62.90	48.4%	3.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	204	194	7	27.71	95.10	40.7%	8.3%
Death (16-20)	171	276	10	27.60	161.40	25.1%	21.6%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,040	1,051	57	18.44	6.06	18.2	44.5%	9.8%
Left-handed batters	236	265	9	29.44	6.74	26.2	45.3%	13.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	1,014	1,012	45	22.49	5.99	22.5	43.6%	9.0%
Powerplay (1-6)	192	220	15	14.67	6.88	12.8	52.1%	17.2%
Death (16-20)	90	99	10	9.90	6.60	9.0	45.6%	12.2%