Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Sarfraz Ahmed, Men's T20I

Death (16-20): average of 15.8, 12.4 below their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 199 balls faced.
Sample: 199 balls · low confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 16, 7 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 207 balls faced.
Sample: 207 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 30.7, 2.5 above their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 559 balls faced.
Sample: 559 balls · high confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 48.0, 19.8 above their average of 28.2 on all balls faced (+70%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 355 balls faced.
Sample: 355 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	204	276	8	34.50	135.29	27.9%	16.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	114	148	5	29.60	129.82	33.3%	17.5%
Left-arm fast-medium	92	126	4	31.50	136.96	33.7%	17.4%
Right-arm fast	80	73	4	18.25	91.25	42.5%	8.8%
Off break	62	86	2	43.00	138.71	22.6%	14.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	355	432	9	48.00	121.69	29.3%	13.5%
Death (16-20)	199	268	17	15.76	134.67	27.1%	14.6%
Powerplay (1-6)	99	118	3	39.33	119.19	46.5%	18.2%