Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

SM Curran, Men's T20I

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 112.6, 17.3 below their strike rate of 129.8 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 302 balls faced.
Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence
Pace: average of 19.3, 2.0 below their average of 21.3 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 324 balls faced.
Sample: 324 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 22.9, 1.7 above their average of 21.3 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 487 balls faced.
Sample: 487 balls · high confidence
Batting first: average of 25.7, 4.4 above their average of 21.3 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 254 balls faced.
Sample: 254 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 25.0, 3.7 above their average of 21.3 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 249 balls faced.
Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence
Middle (7-15): average of 26.2, 4.9 above their average of 21.3 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 302 balls faced.
Sample: 302 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 24.6, 5.0 above their strike rate of 19.7 on all balls bowled (+25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 468 balls bowled.
Sample: 468 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 26.2, 2.5 below their average of 28.8 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 885 balls bowled.
Sample: 885 balls · high confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	125	190	11	17.27	152.00	30.4%	18.4%
Right-arm fast	113	150	7	21.43	132.74	33.6%	16.8%
Off break	96	100	4	25.00	104.17	29.2%	6.3%
Slow left-arm orthodox	91	109	5	21.80	119.78	31.9%	11.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	302	340	13	26.15	112.58	32.5%	10.3%
Death (16-20)	254	365	22	16.59	143.70	28.7%	15.7%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	885	1,260	48	26.25	8.54	18.4	32.9%	17.6%
Left-handed batters	442	682	20	34.10	9.26	22.1	27.4%	17.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	468	643	19	33.84	8.24	24.6	26.9%	13.5%
Powerplay (1-6)	456	659	19	34.68	8.67	24.0	37.7%	21.1%
Death (16-20)	413	653	30	21.77	9.49	13.8	28.6%	17.9%