Plans built only from the evidence.

Death (16-20): economy of 9.73, 1.65 above their economy of 8.08 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 470 balls bowled.

Sample: 470 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 30.7, 13.2 above their strike rate of 17.5 on all balls bowled (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 276 balls bowled.

Sample: 276 balls · low confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 38.4, 14.9 above their average of 23.5 on all balls bowled (+63%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 335 balls bowled.

Sample: 335 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 20.8, 2.8 below their average of 23.5 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 1029 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,029 balls · high confidence

Powerplay (1-6): economy of 7.01, 1.07 below their economy of 8.08 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 636 balls bowled.

Sample: 636 balls · medium confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 19.5, 4.1 below their average of 23.5 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 449 balls bowled.

Sample: 449 balls · medium confidence