Plans built only from the evidence.

Batting first: average of 29.1, 3.2 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 733 balls faced.

Sample: 733 balls · high confidence

Death (16-20): average of 22.2, 10.0 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 233 balls faced.

Sample: 233 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 25.1, 7.1 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 264 balls faced.

Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 19, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 435 balls faced.

Sample: 435 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 23.0, 9.2 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 163 balls faced.

Sample: 163 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 128.7, 13.6 below their strike rate of 142.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 181 balls faced.

Sample: 181 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 23.3, 8.9 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 181 balls faced.

Sample: 181 balls · low confidence

West Indies: average of 28.9, 3.3 below their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 203 balls faced.

Sample: 203 balls · low confidence

Chasing: average of 38.2, 6.0 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 512 balls faced.

Sample: 512 balls · high confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 39.7, 7.4 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 739 balls faced.

Sample: 739 balls · high confidence

England: average of 45.9, 13.7 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 63.0, 30.8 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+96%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 61.8, 29.6 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+92%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 211 balls faced.

Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

England: average of 49.2, 17.0 above their average of 32.2 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 161 balls faced.

Sample: 161 balls · low confidence