Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

TM McGrath, Women's T20I

Batting first: average of 38.4, 6.2 below their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 511 balls faced.
Sample: 511 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 36.7, 7.9 below their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 396 balls faced.
Sample: 396 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 35.4, 9.2 below their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 264 balls faced.
Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm medium: average of 33.1, 11.5 below their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 194 balls faced.
Sample: 194 balls · low confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 33.4, 11.2 below their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 212 balls faced.
Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Chasing: average of 56.3, 11.7 above their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 372 balls faced.
Sample: 372 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 56.9, 12.2 above their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 281 balls faced.
Sample: 281 balls · medium confidence
At home: average of 56.9, 12.2 above their average of 44.6 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 281 balls faced.
Sample: 281 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): strike rate of 32.2, 14.1 above their strike rate of 18.1 on all balls bowled (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 258 balls bowled.
Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

No bowling strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	212	267	8	33.38	125.94	39.6%	19.3%
Right-arm medium	194	265	8	33.13	136.60	34.0%	21.1%
Off break	151	208	6	34.67	137.75	38.4%	21.2%
Right-arm fast-medium	144	160	2	80.00	111.11	38.2%	12.5%
Leg break	123	188	1	188.00	152.85	32.5%	24.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	496	644	14	46.00	129.84	35.7%	19.0%
Death (16-20)	206	305	8	38.13

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	338	473	18	26.28	8.40	18.8	34.3%	16.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Middle (7-15)	258	357	8	44.63	8.30	32.3	30.2%	15.9%
Death (16-20)	93	118	13	9.08	7.61	7.2	39.8%	14.0%