Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 8.8, 4.0 below their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 254 balls faced.

Sample: 254 balls · medium confidence

Batting first: average of 10.7, 2.1 below their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 283 balls faced.

Sample: 283 balls · medium confidence

Middle (7-15): average of 11.1, 1.7 below their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 294 balls faced.

Sample: 294 balls · medium confidence

Chasing: average of 15.9, 3.1 above their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 264 balls faced.

Sample: 264 balls · medium confidence

Powerplay (1-6): average of 31.4, 18.6 above their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (+145%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 182 balls faced.

Sample: 182 balls · low confidence

Pace: average of 16.2, 3.4 above their average of 12.8 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 216 balls faced.

Sample: 216 balls · low confidence