Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

WIA Fernando, Men's T20I

Pace: average of 8.7, 2.3 below their average of 11.1 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 9.7, 1.4 below their average of 11.1 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 241 balls faced.
Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence

Spin: average of 17.6, 6.5 above their average of 11.1 on all balls faced (+59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 177 balls faced.
Sample: 177 balls · low confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 14.0, 2.9 above their average of 11.1 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 167 balls faced.
Sample: 167 balls · low confidence
At home: average of 14.0, 2.9 above their average of 11.1 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 167 balls faced.
Sample: 167 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	97	83	4	20.75	85.57	37.1%	3.1%
Right-arm fast	70	74	8	9.25	105.71	48.6%	12.9%
Leg break	63	52	3	17.33	82.54	33.3%	4.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Powerplay (1-6)	242	214	20	10.70	88.43	54.1%	10.7%
Middle (7-15)	149	149	13	11.46	100.00	30.2%	6.7%