Plans built only from the evidence.

Leg break: strike rate of 56.3, 4.2 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 881 balls faced.

Sample: 881 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 32.2, 4.3 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1045 balls faced.

Sample: 1,045 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 34.3, 26.3 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 289 balls faced.

Sample: 289 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 56, 4 below their balls per dismissal of 60 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1744 balls faced.

Sample: 1,744 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 57.9, 2.7 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (-4%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2553 balls faced.

Sample: 2,553 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 27.6, 8.9 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 520 balls faced.

Sample: 520 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 31.6, 4.9 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1625 balls faced.

Sample: 1,625 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 48.8, 11.7 below their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 211 balls faced.

Sample: 211 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 28.2, 8.3 below their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 201 balls faced.

Sample: 201 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 79.7, 19.1 above their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 733 balls faced.

Sample: 733 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 55.2, 18.7 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 778 balls faced.

Sample: 778 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 74, 14 above their balls per dismissal of 60 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1041 balls faced.

Sample: 1,041 balls · high confidence

England: average of 42.1, 5.5 above their average of 36.5 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 1598 balls faced.

Sample: 1,598 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 67.8, 7.3 above their strike rate of 60.5 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1045 balls faced.

Sample: 1,045 balls · high confidence