Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 50.5, 7.6 below their strike rate of 58.1 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 285 balls faced.

Sample: 285 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 28.8, 8.5 below their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 285 balls faced.

Sample: 285 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 15.7, 21.7 below their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (-58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 187 balls faced.

Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 51.8, 6.3 below their strike rate of 58.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 220 balls faced.

Sample: 220 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 51.0, 13.7 above their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 519 balls faced.

Sample: 519 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 51.0, 13.7 above their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 519 balls faced.

Sample: 519 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 121.0, 83.7 above their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (+224%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 388 balls faced.

Sample: 388 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 120, 56 above their balls per dismissal of 64 on all balls faced (+87%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 360 balls faced.

Sample: 360 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 159.0, 121.7 above their average of 37.3 on all balls faced (+326%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 212 balls faced.

Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 75.0, 16.9 above their strike rate of 58.1 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 212 balls faced.

Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 63.9, 5.7 above their strike rate of 58.1 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 166 balls faced.

Sample: 166 balls · low confidence