Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AB McDonald, Men's Test

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

No bowling weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Old ball (21-80): economy of 1.96, 0.50 below their economy of 2.46 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 462 balls bowled.
Sample: 462 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 66.0, 15.3 below their strike rate of 81.3 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 462 balls bowled.
Sample: 462 balls · medium confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 29.0, 4.3 below their average of 33.3 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 552 balls bowled.
Sample: 552 balls · medium confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast	99	58	4	14.50	58.59	74.7%	8.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	70	29	1	29.00	41.43	72.9%	2.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	109	35	3	11.67	32.11	82.6%	2.8%
Second new ball (81+)	108	72	2	36.00	66.67	63.9%	7.4%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	552	232	8	29.00	2.52	69.0	80.6%	5.8%
Left-handed batters	180	68	1	68.00	2.27	180.0	79.4%	4.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	462	151	7	21.57	1.96	66.0	82.9%	3.7%
Second new ball (81+)	180	103	2	51.50	3.43	90.0	73.3%	7.8%
New ball (1-20)	90	46	0	–	3.07	–	81.1%	10.0%