Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.75, 0.56 above their economy of 3.19 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 459 balls bowled.

Sample: 459 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 128.0, 96.1 above their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (+301%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 438 balls bowled.

Sample: 438 balls · medium confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 76.3, 44.4 above their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (+139%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 446 balls bowled.

Sample: 446 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 56.4, 24.5 above their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 517 balls bowled.

Sample: 517 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 76.5, 16.5 above their strike rate of 60.0 on all balls bowled (+28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 459 balls bowled.

Sample: 459 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 23.7, 8.2 below their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 683 balls bowled.

Sample: 683 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 55.8, 4.2 below their strike rate of 60.0 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 446 balls bowled.

Sample: 446 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.68, 0.51 below their economy of 3.19 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 295 balls bowled.

Sample: 295 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 12.9, 19.0 below their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 241 balls bowled.

Sample: 241 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 12.9, 19.0 below their average of 31.9 on all balls bowled (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 241 balls bowled.

Sample: 241 balls · low confidence