Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

AJ Bichel, Men's Test

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 104.0, 41.2 above their strike rate of 62.8 on all balls bowled (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 624 balls bowled.
Sample: 624 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 63.3, 28.2 above their average of 35.1 on all balls bowled (+80%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 276 balls bowled.
Sample: 276 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.13, 0.78 above their economy of 3.35 on all balls bowled (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 276 balls bowled.
Sample: 276 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.12, 0.23 below their economy of 3.35 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 918 balls bowled.
Sample: 918 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 29.8, 5.3 below their average of 35.1 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 918 balls bowled.
Sample: 918 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.92, 0.43 below their economy of 3.35 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 337 balls bowled.
Sample: 337 balls · low confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 33.7, 29.1 below their strike rate of 62.8 on all balls bowled (-46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 337 balls bowled.
Sample: 337 balls · low confidence

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	95	70	5	14.00	73.68	68.4%	12.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	62	49	4	12.25	79.03	66.1%	14.5%

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	918	477	16	29.81	3.12	57.4	78.6%	7.3%
Left-handed batters	276	190	3	63.33	4.13	92.0	72.5%	10.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	624	350	6	58.33	3.37	104.0	76.4%	9.0%
Second new ball (81+)	337	164	10	16.40	2.92	33.7	79.2%	5.9%
New ball (1-20)	233	153	3	51.00	3.94	77.7	76.4%	9.0%