Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 18.9, 10.6 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 379 balls faced.

Sample: 379 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 39.5, 17.1 below their strike rate of 56.6 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 25.9, 3.6 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 489 balls faced.

Sample: 489 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 16.6, 12.9 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 268 balls faced.

Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 49.6, 7.0 below their strike rate of 56.6 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 268 balls faced.

Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 42, 11 below their balls per dismissal of 52 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 416 balls faced.

Sample: 416 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 22.5, 7.0 below their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 41.5, 12.0 above their average of 29.5 on all balls faced (+41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 508 balls faced.

Sample: 508 balls · high confidence

Right-arm medium: strike rate of 82.9, 26.3 above their strike rate of 56.6 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 240 balls faced.

Sample: 240 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 66.5, 9.9 above their strike rate of 56.6 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 230 balls faced.

Sample: 230 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 132, 79 above their balls per dismissal of 52 on all balls faced (+152%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 263 balls faced.

Sample: 263 balls · medium confidence