Plans built only from the evidence.

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 36.4, 6.4 below their strike rate of 42.7 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 396 balls faced.

Sample: 396 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 14.0, 3.5 below their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 392 balls faced.

Sample: 392 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 8.0, 9.5 below their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 32.0, 10.7 below their strike rate of 42.7 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 200 balls faced.

Sample: 200 balls · low confidence

England: average of 9.0, 8.5 below their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

England: average of 9.0, 8.5 below their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 180 balls faced.

Sample: 180 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 29, 12 below their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 173 balls faced.

Sample: 173 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 28.8, 11.3 above their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 207 balls faced.

Sample: 207 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 28.8, 11.3 above their average of 17.5 on all balls faced (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 207 balls faced.

Sample: 207 balls · low confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 58, 17 above their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 175 balls faced.

Sample: 175 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 46, 5 above their balls per dismissal of 41 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 183 balls faced.

Sample: 183 balls · low confidence