Plans built only from the evidence.

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 57, 23 below their balls per dismissal of 80 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 286 balls faced.

Sample: 286 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 37.6, 13.3 below their strike rate of 50.9 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 242 balls faced.

Sample: 242 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 29.2, 11.4 below their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 29.2, 11.4 below their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 29.2, 11.4 below their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 390 balls faced.

Sample: 390 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 30.3, 10.2 below their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 242 balls faced.

Sample: 242 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 58.8, 18.2 above their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (+45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 429 balls faced.

Sample: 429 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 109.0, 68.4 above their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (+169%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 168 balls faced.

Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 109.0, 68.4 above their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (+169%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 168 balls faced.

Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 109.0, 68.4 above their average of 40.6 on all balls faced (+169%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 168 balls faced.

Sample: 168 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 69.2, 18.3 above their strike rate of 50.9 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 185 balls faced.

Sample: 185 balls · low confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 154, 74 above their balls per dismissal of 80 on all balls faced (+93%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 154 balls faced.

Sample: 154 balls · low confidence