Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-handed batters: average of 121.7, 58.8 above their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (+93%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 554 balls bowled.

Sample: 554 balls · medium confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.95, 0.58 above their economy of 3.37 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 554 balls bowled.

Sample: 554 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 135.7, 23.8 above their strike rate of 111.9 on all balls bowled (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 407 balls bowled.

Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 294.0, 182.1 above their strike rate of 111.9 on all balls bowled (+163%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 294 balls bowled.

Sample: 294 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 52.9, 10.0 below their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 833 balls bowled.

Sample: 833 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 33.5, 29.4 below their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 453 balls bowled.

Sample: 453 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 2.66, 0.71 below their economy of 3.37 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 453 balls bowled.

Sample: 453 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 52.9, 10.0 below their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 833 balls bowled.

Sample: 833 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.11, 0.26 below their economy of 3.37 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 407 balls bowled.

Sample: 407 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 50.0, 12.9 below their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 444 balls bowled.

Sample: 444 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 61.2, 50.7 below their strike rate of 111.9 on all balls bowled (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 306 balls bowled.

Sample: 306 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 40.5, 22.4 below their average of 62.9 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 317 balls bowled.

Sample: 317 balls · low confidence