Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): average of 28.5, 12.8 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 421 balls faced.

Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 48.1, 4.5 below their strike rate of 52.5 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 462 balls faced.

Sample: 462 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 32.5, 8.8 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 389 balls faced.

Sample: 389 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm medium: average of 30.4, 10.9 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 385 balls faced.

Sample: 385 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 21.4, 19.9 below their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 49.1, 7.8 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 763 balls faced.

Sample: 763 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 55.5, 14.2 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 462 balls faced.

Sample: 462 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 47.9, 6.6 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 711 balls faced.

Sample: 711 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 170.0, 128.7 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+312%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 326 balls faced.

Sample: 326 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 49.3, 8.0 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 577 balls faced.

Sample: 577 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 60.4, 7.9 above their strike rate of 52.5 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 250 balls faced.

Sample: 250 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 198, 119 above their balls per dismissal of 79 on all balls faced (+152%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 198 balls faced.

Sample: 198 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 64.0, 22.7 above their average of 41.3 on all balls faced (+55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +17%) — 217 balls faced.

Sample: 217 balls · low confidence