Plans built only from the evidence.

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 27.6, 19.6 below their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 673 balls faced.

Sample: 673 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 20.7, 9.3 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 673 balls faced.

Sample: 673 balls · high confidence

India: average of 18.9, 11.1 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 781 balls faced.

Sample: 781 balls · high confidence

India: average of 18.9, 11.1 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 781 balls faced.

Sample: 781 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 44.0, 3.2 below their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2064 balls faced.

Sample: 2,064 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 16.8, 13.2 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 312 balls faced.

Sample: 312 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 16.8, 13.2 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 312 balls faced.

Sample: 312 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 56, 8 below their balls per dismissal of 63 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 670 balls faced.

Sample: 670 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 26.2, 3.8 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 879 balls faced.

Sample: 879 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 20.0, 10.0 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 249 balls faced.

Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 60.2, 13.0 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 510 balls faced.

Sample: 510 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 69.2, 39.3 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+131%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 492 balls faced.

Sample: 492 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 69.2, 39.3 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+131%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 492 balls faced.

Sample: 492 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 48.0, 18.0 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 507 balls faced.

Sample: 507 balls · high confidence

England: average of 48.0, 18.0 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 507 balls faced.

Sample: 507 balls · high confidence

Off break: strike rate of 56.6, 9.3 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 622 balls faced.

Sample: 622 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 67.6, 20.4 above their strike rate of 47.2 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 340 balls faced.

Sample: 340 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 44.0, 14.0 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 622 balls faced.

Sample: 622 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 76, 12 above their balls per dismissal of 63 on all balls faced (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1135 balls faced.

Sample: 1,135 balls · high confidence