Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

C de Grandhomme, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Away from home: average of 22.4, 16.3 below their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 463 balls faced.
Sample: 463 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 67.0, 13.5 below their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1039 balls faced.
Sample: 1,039 balls · high confidence
Spin: average of 32.9, 5.8 below their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 652 balls faced.
Sample: 652 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 50.7, 29.8 below their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 306 balls faced.
Sample: 306 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 34.8, 3.9 below their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1039 balls faced.
Sample: 1,039 balls · high confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 45, 3 below their balls per dismissal of 48 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 627 balls faced.
Sample: 627 balls · high confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 97.9, 17.5 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 715 balls faced.
Sample: 715 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 51.1, 12.4 above their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1317 balls faced.
Sample: 1,317 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 42.7, 4.0 above their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1128 balls faced.
Sample: 1,128 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 51.1, 12.4 above their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (+32%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 1317 balls faced.
Sample: 1,317 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 102.0, 21.6 above their strike rate of 80.4 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 296 balls faced.
Sample: 296 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 48.8, 10.1 above their average of 38.7 on all balls faced (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 314 balls faced.
Sample: 314 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

New ball (1-20): economy of 2.61, 0.22 above their economy of 2.39 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1272 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,272 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 42.5, 9.5 above their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1581 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,581 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 96.7, 14.0 above their strike rate of 82.7 on all balls bowled (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2224 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,224 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 82.7, 49.7 above their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (+151%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 468 balls bowled.
Sample: 468 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 2.58, 0.19 above their economy of 2.39 on all balls bowled (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1581 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,581 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 2.63, 0.24 above their economy of 2.39 on all balls bowled (+10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 558 balls bowled.
Sample: 558 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.20, 0.19 below their economy of 2.39 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2224 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,224 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 28.3, 4.6 below their average of 33.0 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2473 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,473 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 2.27, 0.12 below their economy of 2.39 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2473 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	595	494	13	38.00	83.03	62.4%	12.1%
Slow left-arm orthodox	306	155	4	38.75	50.65	69.9%	4.2%
Off break	296	302	8	37.75	102.03	52.7%	11.5%
Right-arm fast	268	244	6	40.67	91.04	54.5%	11.6%
Left-arm fast-medium	148	103	1	103.00	69.59	69.6%	9.5%
Left-arm fast	76	45	2	22.50	59.21	71.1%	9.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,039	696	20	34.80

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	2,473	935	33	28.33	2.27	74.9	80.8%	4.7%
Left-handed batters	1,581	680	16	42.50	2.58	98.8	79.1%	5.2%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,224	816	23	35.48	2.20	96.7	81.1%	4.3%
New ball (1-20)	1,272	554	16	34.63	2.61	79.5	79.6%	5.6%
Second new ball (81+)	558	245	10	24.50	2.63	55.8	77.6%	5.4%