Plans built only from the evidence.

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 72.3, 15.1 above their strike rate of 57.2 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 723 balls bowled.

Sample: 723 balls · high confidence

Left-handed batters: economy of 3.59, 0.29 above their economy of 3.30 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1315 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,315 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.69, 0.39 above their economy of 3.30 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 723 balls bowled.

Sample: 723 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 67.4, 10.2 above their strike rate of 57.2 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1348 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,348 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 86.8, 55.3 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+175%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 684 balls bowled.

Sample: 684 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 86.8, 55.3 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+175%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 684 balls bowled.

Sample: 684 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 55.8, 24.2 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 414 balls bowled.

Sample: 414 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 55.8, 24.2 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 414 balls bowled.

Sample: 414 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 50.6, 19.1 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 426 balls bowled.

Sample: 426 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 78.0, 46.5 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+148%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 258 balls bowled.

Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 78.0, 46.5 above their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (+148%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 258 balls bowled.

Sample: 258 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 41.8, 15.4 below their strike rate of 57.2 on all balls bowled (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 961 balls bowled.

Sample: 961 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): economy of 2.85, 0.45 below their economy of 3.30 on all balls bowled (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 961 balls bowled.

Sample: 961 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.09, 0.22 below their economy of 3.30 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1717 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,717 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 14.5, 17.0 below their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 567 balls bowled.

Sample: 567 balls · medium confidence

Away from home: average of 29.5, 2.0 below their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 2618 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,618 balls · high confidence

Bangladesh: average of 14.5, 17.0 below their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 567 balls bowled.

Sample: 567 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 25.0, 6.5 below their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 311 balls bowled.

Sample: 311 balls · low confidence

South Africa: average of 25.0, 6.5 below their average of 31.5 on all balls bowled (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 27% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 311 balls bowled.

Sample: 311 balls · low confidence