Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

CJ Anderson, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 42, 15 below their balls per dismissal of 57 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 545 balls faced.
Sample: 545 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 19.0, 13.5 below their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 260 balls faced.
Sample: 260 balls · medium confidence
Pakistan: average of 26.0, 6.5 below their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 221 balls faced.
Sample: 221 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Old ball (21-80): average of 44.6, 12.1 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 860 balls faced.
Sample: 860 balls · high confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 122, 65 above their balls per dismissal of 57 on all balls faced (+113%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 366 balls faced.
Sample: 366 balls · medium confidence
Australia: average of 37.5, 5.0 above their average of 32.5 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 323 balls faced.
Sample: 323 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.25, 0.21 above their economy of 3.04 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 913 balls bowled.
Sample: 913 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 49.4, 8.2 above their average of 41.2 on all balls bowled (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 913 balls bowled.
Sample: 913 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 105.4, 24.1 above their strike rate of 81.4 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 738 balls bowled.
Sample: 738 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.76, 0.72 above their economy of 3.04 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 348 balls bowled.
Sample: 348 balls · low confidence
Pakistan: average of 68.5, 27.3 above their average of 41.2 on all balls bowled (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 276 balls bowled.
Sample: 276 balls · low confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 68.5, 27.3 above their average of 41.2 on all balls bowled (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 276 balls bowled.
Sample: 276 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: economy of 2.54, 0.49 below their economy of 3.04 on all balls bowled (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 389 balls bowled.
Sample: 389 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 27.5, 13.7 below their average of 41.2 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 389 balls bowled.
Sample: 389 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 18.4, 22.8 below their average of 41.2 on all balls bowled (-55%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 342 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	372	199	7	28.43	53.49	78.8%	9.7%
Off break	358	218	5	43.60	60.89	73.7%	9.8%
Left-arm fast-medium	126	61	2	30.50	48.41	79.4%	7.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	120	73	3	24.33	60.83	70.0%	5.8%
Right-arm medium	96	45	1	45.00	46.88	78.1%	5.2%
Right-arm fast	68	41	2	20.50	60.29	72.1%	11.8%
Leg break	61	46	1	46.00	75.41	68.9%	11.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	913	494	10	49.40	3.25	91.3	72.8%	7.2%
Left-handed batters	389	165	6	27.50	2.54	64.8	75.1%	4.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	738	358	7	51.14	2.91	105.4	74.9%	6.2%
Second new ball (81+)	348	218	7	31.14	3.76	49.7	67.5%	8.3%
New ball (1-20)	216	83	2	41.50	2.31	108.0	78.2%	4.6%

Old ball (21-80)	860	491	11	44.64	57.09	74.8%	8.4%
Second new ball (81+)	260	171	9	19.00	65.77	75.4%	12.7%
New ball (1-20)	81	21	1	21.00	25.93	84.0%	3.7%