Plans built only from the evidence.

Pace: average of 9.5, 7.6 below their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 268 balls faced.

Sample: 268 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 19.0, 15.3 below their strike rate of 34.3 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 179 balls faced.

Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 5.7, 11.5 below their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (-67%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 187 balls faced.

Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 6.8, 10.3 below their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 179 balls faced.

Sample: 179 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 31.3, 3.0 below their strike rate of 34.3 on all balls faced (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 217 balls faced.

Sample: 217 balls · low confidence

England: average of 26.2, 9.1 above their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 26.2, 9.1 above their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (+53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 228 balls faced.

Sample: 228 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 46.8, 12.5 above their strike rate of 34.3 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 220 balls faced.

Sample: 220 balls · low confidence

India: average of 51.5, 34.4 above their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (+201%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +0%) — 212 balls faced.

Sample: 212 balls · low confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 34.3, 17.2 above their average of 17.1 on all balls faced (+100%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 220 balls faced.

Sample: 220 balls · low confidence