Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

D Paterson, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

No batting weakness clears the thresholds in this format.

Bowling to them: what to avoid

No batting strength clears the thresholds in this format.

Batting against them: where they leak

Old ball (21-80): economy of 3.36, 0.37 above their economy of 2.98 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 642 balls bowled.
Sample: 642 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 46.6, 20.4 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 486 balls bowled.
Sample: 486 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 46.6, 20.4 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+78%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 486 balls bowled.
Sample: 486 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 64.2, 11.4 above their strike rate of 52.8 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 642 balls bowled.
Sample: 642 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 33.8, 7.5 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 564 balls bowled.
Sample: 564 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 41.5, 15.3 above their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 347 balls bowled.
Sample: 347 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

New ball (1-20): economy of 2.11, 0.88 below their economy of 2.98 on all balls bowled (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 453 balls bowled.
Sample: 453 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 22.7, 3.5 below their average of 26.2 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 755 balls bowled.
Sample: 755 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Not enough balls: splits are shown from 60 balls faced.

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	897	431	17	25.35	2.88	52.8	76.9%	6.7%
Left-handed batters	422	225	8	28.13	3.20	52.8	71.1%	5.5%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	642	359	10	35.90	3.36	64.2	70.9%	7.2%
New ball (1-20)	453	159	9	17.67	2.11	50.3	81.2%	3.5%
Second new ball (81+)	224	138	6	23.00	3.70	37.3	74.6%	9.4%