Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Danish Kaneria, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Second new ball (81+): average of 7.2, 0.5 below their average of 7.7 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 291 balls faced.
Sample: 291 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 3.6, 4.1 below their average of 7.7 on all balls faced (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 156 balls faced.
Sample: 156 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 11.2, 3.5 above their average of 7.7 on all balls faced (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 300 balls faced.
Sample: 300 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 17.2, 9.5 above their average of 7.7 on all balls faced (+123%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 176 balls faced.
Sample: 176 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

England: average of 58.9, 18.1 above their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (+44%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 2083 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,083 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 51.7, 10.9 above their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 3432 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,432 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 46.1, 5.3 above their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 4151 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,151 balls · high confidence
India: average of 55.1, 14.2 above their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1854 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,854 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 88.3, 10.4 above their strike rate of 77.8 on all balls bowled (+13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 6444 balls bowled.
Sample: 6,444 balls · high confidence
England: average of 51.4, 10.6 above their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (+26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1879 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,879 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

South Africa: average of 28.4, 12.4 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2308 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,308 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): economy of 2.69, 0.46 below their economy of 3.15 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 792 balls bowled.
Sample: 792 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 36.4, 4.4 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 6298 balls bowled.
Sample: 6,298 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 20.8, 20.0 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 479 balls bowled.
Sample: 479 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 19.8, 21.1 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 680 balls bowled.
Sample: 680 balls · medium confidence
New Zealand: average of 20.7, 20.1 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 570 balls bowled.
Sample: 570 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 37.8, 3.1 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 5579 balls bowled.
Sample: 5,579 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 20.7, 20.1 below their average of 40.8 on all balls bowled (-49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 570 balls bowled.
Sample: 570 balls · medium confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 72.0, 5.8 below their strike rate of 77.8 on all balls bowled (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 792 balls bowled.
Sample: 792 balls · high confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	214	132	13	10.15	61.68	72.4%	8.9%
Slow left-arm orthodox	74	31	3	10.33	41.89	79.7%	5.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	291	143	20	7.15	49.14	75.9%	6.2%
Old ball (21-80)	165	88	10	8.80	53.33	74.5%	7.3%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	6,298	3,243	89	36.44	3.09	70.8	70.8%	5.6%
Left-handed batters	3,432	1,862	36	51.72	3.26	95.3	69.8%	6.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	6,444	3,351	73	45.90	3.12	88.3	70.9%	5.7%
Second new ball (81+)	2,494	1,399	41	34.12	3.37	60.8	68.3%	6.5%
New ball (1-20)	792	355	11	32.27	2.69	72.0	73.2%	3.8%