Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

DD Ebrahim, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 9.9, 3.7 below their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 349 balls faced.
Sample: 349 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 23, 12 below their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 159 balls faced.
Sample: 159 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

South Africa: average of 28.2, 14.7 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+108%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 255 balls faced.
Sample: 255 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 28.2, 14.7 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+108%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 255 balls faced.
Sample: 255 balls · medium confidence
Away from home: average of 19.4, 5.8 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 359 balls faced.
Sample: 359 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 21.8, 8.2 above their average of 13.6 on all balls faced (+60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 211 balls faced.
Sample: 211 balls · low confidence
Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 53, 18 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 213 balls faced.
Sample: 213 balls · low confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 46.5, 8.0 above their strike rate of 38.5 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 157 balls faced.
Sample: 157 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast	157	73	7	10.43	46.50	75.2%	7.6%
Right-arm fast-medium	128	54	4	13.50	42.19	80.5%	7.0%
Slow left-arm orthodox	73	27	0	–	36.99	82.2%	4.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
New ball (1-20)	282	103	10	10.30	36.52	80.9%	5.7%
Old ball (21-80)	211	87	4	21.75	41.23	77.7%	5.2%