Plans built only from the evidence.

England: average of 17.7, 22.3 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 540 balls faced.

Sample: 540 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 28.8, 11.3 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 957 balls faced.

Sample: 957 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 35.5, 4.5 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1027 balls faced.

Sample: 1,027 balls · high confidence

England: average of 19.9, 20.2 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 258 balls faced.

Sample: 258 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 18.7, 21.4 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 235 balls faced.

Sample: 235 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 42.4, 8.2 below their strike rate of 50.6 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 151 balls faced.

Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 21.3, 18.7 below their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 151 balls faced.

Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 70.0, 29.9 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 518 balls faced.

Sample: 518 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 56.2, 16.2 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 474 balls faced.

Sample: 474 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 56.2, 16.2 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 474 balls faced.

Sample: 474 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 59.8, 9.2 above their strike rate of 50.6 on all balls faced (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 465 balls faced.

Sample: 465 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 43.3, 3.2 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1824 balls faced.

Sample: 1,824 balls · high confidence

India: average of 48.6, 8.5 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 702 balls faced.

Sample: 702 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 98.5, 58.4 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+146%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 349 balls faced.

Sample: 349 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 76.0, 35.9 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+90%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 331 balls faced.

Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 76.0, 35.9 above their average of 40.1 on all balls faced (+90%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 331 balls faced.

Sample: 331 balls · medium confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 67.1, 16.6 above their strike rate of 50.6 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 283 balls faced.