Plans built only from the evidence.

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 259.2, 165.4 above their strike rate of 93.9 on all balls bowled (+176%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1037 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,037 balls · high confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 235.0, 178.1 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+313%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 444 balls bowled.

Sample: 444 balls · medium confidence

Left-handed batters: average of 72.3, 15.3 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1306 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,306 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 108.4, 14.5 above their strike rate of 93.9 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1734 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,734 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 81.2, 24.3 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 576 balls bowled.

Sample: 576 balls · medium confidence

Zimbabwe: average of 193.0, 136.1 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+239%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 312 balls bowled.

Sample: 312 balls · low confidence

West Indies: average of 80.0, 23.0 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -8%) — 317 balls bowled.

Sample: 317 balls · low confidence

West Indies: average of 80.0, 23.0 above their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (+40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 317 balls bowled.

Sample: 317 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 49.2, 44.7 below their strike rate of 93.9 on all balls bowled (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 984 balls bowled.

Sample: 984 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 50.0, 7.0 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 2418 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,418 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 47.1, 9.8 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1218 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,218 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 45.5, 11.5 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 672 balls bowled.

Sample: 672 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 45.5, 11.5 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 672 balls bowled.

Sample: 672 balls · medium confidence

Ireland: average of 27.8, 29.1 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 300 balls bowled.

Sample: 300 balls · low confidence

India: average of 51.5, 5.5 below their average of 57.0 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 312 balls bowled.

Sample: 312 balls · low confidence