Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

FH Edwards, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Pace: average of 5.3, 1.6 below their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 484 balls faced.
Sample: 484 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 5.2, 1.8 below their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 321 balls faced.
Sample: 321 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 23.7, 6.0 below their strike rate of 29.6 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 241 balls faced.
Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence
Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 18, 6 below their balls per dismissal of 23 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Off break: average of 28.5, 21.6 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+310%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 241 balls faced.
Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 37.8, 8.1 above their strike rate of 29.6 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 384 balls faced.
Sample: 384 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 14.4, 7.4 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+107%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 368 balls faced.
Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 13.2, 6.3 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+91%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 431 balls faced.
Sample: 431 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 8.8, 1.9 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 568 balls faced.
Sample: 568 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 9.0, 2.1 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 421 balls faced.
Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 9.0, 2.1 above their average of 6.9 on all balls faced (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 421 balls faced.
Sample: 421 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

South Africa: average of 101.6, 62.6 above their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (+161%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 772 balls bowled.
Sample: 772 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 79.3, 18.4 above their strike rate of 60.9 on all balls bowled (+30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2142 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,142 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 79.2, 40.2 above their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (+103%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 575 balls bowled.
Sample: 575 balls · medium confidence
India: average of 66.6, 27.6 above their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (+71%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 500 balls bowled.
Sample: 500 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

India: average of 30.1, 8.9 below their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1333 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,333 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 33.0, 6.0 below their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1269 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,269 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 3.61, 0.23 below their economy of 3.84 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 2676 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,676 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 58.1, 2.8 below their strike rate of 60.9 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2674 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,674 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 33.0, 6.0 below their average of 39.0 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2696 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	384	145	25	5.80	37.76	80.2%	4.7%
Off break	241	57	2	28.50	23.65	85.9%	2.5%
Slow left-arm orthodox	92	24	4	6.00	26.09	82.6%	3.3%
Leg break	86	21	2	10.50	24.42	84.9%	3.5%
Right-arm fast	61	12	2	6.00	19.67	82.0%	1.6%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Second new ball (81+)	568	176	20	8.80	30.99	82.7%	3.5%
Old ball (21-80)	321	93	18	5.17

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,906	2,600	69	37.68	3.99	56.6	69.9%	8.5%
Left-handed batters	2,676	1,611	39	41.31	3.61	68.6	72.8%	7.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,674	1,670	46	36.30	3.75	58.1	71.4%	7.6%
New ball (1-20)	2,142	1,357	27	50.26	3.80	79.3	72.2%	8.3%
Second new ball (81+)	1,766	1,184	35	33.83	4.02	50.5	69.2%	8.5%