Plans built only from the evidence.

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 38.8, 11.7 below their strike rate of 50.5 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 521 balls faced.

Sample: 521 balls · high confidence

Off break: average of 33.1, 10.3 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1073 balls faced.

Sample: 1,073 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 33.7, 9.7 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 10% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 521 balls faced.

Sample: 521 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 76, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 86 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 4472 balls faced.

Sample: 4,472 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 45.4, 5.1 below their strike rate of 50.5 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 3230 balls faced.

Sample: 3,230 balls · high confidence

England: average of 34.9, 8.5 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 1790 balls faced.

Sample: 1,790 balls · high confidence

England: average of 12.7, 30.7 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-71%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 377 balls faced.

Sample: 377 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 34.1, 9.3 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 985 balls faced.

Sample: 985 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 22.6, 20.8 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-48%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 445 balls faced.

Sample: 445 balls · medium confidence

Off break: strike rate of 46.2, 4.3 below their strike rate of 50.5 on all balls faced (-8%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1073 balls faced.

Sample: 1,073 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 36.8, 6.6 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 285 balls faced.

Sample: 285 balls · medium confidence

Left-arm fast: average of 25.2, 18.2 below their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (-42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 187 balls faced.

Sample: 187 balls · low confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 177.0, 133.6 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+308%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 813 balls faced.

Sample: 813 balls · high confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: strike rate of 65.3, 14.8 above their strike rate of 50.5 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 813 balls faced.

Sample: 813 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 154, 68 above their balls per dismissal of 86 on all balls faced (+79%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1694 balls faced.

Sample: 1,694 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 89.0, 45.6 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+105%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 946 balls faced.

Sample: 946 balls · high confidence

South Africa: average of 60.5, 17.1 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 573 balls faced.

Sample: 573 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: average of 68.2, 24.8 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 497 balls faced.

Sample: 497 balls · high confidence

Left-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 54.9, 4.4 above their strike rate of 50.5 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 497 balls faced.

Sample: 497 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 53.5, 10.1 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1509 balls faced.

Sample: 1,509 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 53.1, 9.7 above their average of 43.4 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 2194 balls faced.

Sample: 2,194 balls · high confidence