Plans built only from the evidence.

Second new ball (81+): average of 24.4, 27.5 below their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (-53%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 251 balls faced.

Sample: 251 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 44.9, 7.0 below their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1080 balls faced.

Sample: 1,080 balls · high confidence

New Zealand: average of 19.8, 32.2 below their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (-62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 195 balls faced.

Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

New Zealand: average of 19.8, 32.2 below their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (-62%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 195 balls faced.

Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 51, 60 below their balls per dismissal of 112 on all balls faced (-54%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 205 balls faced.

Sample: 205 balls · low confidence

At home: average of 37.5, 14.4 below their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (-28%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 151 balls faced.

Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 90.3, 38.4 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+74%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 540 balls faced.

Sample: 540 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 71.2, 19.3 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 596 balls faced.

Sample: 596 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 69.2, 17.3 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 691 balls faced.

Sample: 691 balls · high confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 293, 181 above their balls per dismissal of 112 on all balls faced (+162%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 293 balls faced.

Sample: 293 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 119.0, 67.1 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+129%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 281 balls faced.

Sample: 281 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 59.8, 7.8 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1144 balls faced.

Sample: 1,144 balls · high confidence

England: average of 59.0, 7.1 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 790 balls faced.

Sample: 790 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 148.0, 96.1 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+185%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 285 balls faced.

Sample: 285 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 88.0, 36.1 above their average of 51.9 on all balls faced (+69%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 193 balls faced.

Sample: 193 balls · low confidence