Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

G Motie, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Old ball (21-80): average of 18.7, 3.4 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 316 balls faced.
Sample: 316 balls · medium confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 59.2, 4.2 below their strike rate of 63.4 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 27% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 316 balls faced.
Sample: 316 balls · medium confidence
Spin: average of 18.9, 3.2 below their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 193 balls faced.
Sample: 193 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Pace: average of 26.6, 4.5 above their average of 22.1 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 225 balls faced.
Sample: 225 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 39, 4 above their balls per dismissal of 35 on all balls faced (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 195 balls faced.
Sample: 195 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

At home: average of 82.7, 55.6 above their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (+206%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 444 balls bowled.
Sample: 444 balls · medium confidence
West Indies: average of 82.7, 55.6 above their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (+206%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 444 balls bowled.
Sample: 444 balls · medium confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 4.00, 0.73 above their economy of 3.26 on all balls bowled (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 566 balls bowled.
Sample: 566 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 53.3, 26.3 above their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (+97%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 522 balls bowled.
Sample: 522 balls · medium confidence
New ball (1-20): economy of 3.76, 0.50 above their economy of 3.26 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 402 balls bowled.
Sample: 402 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Right-handed batters: economy of 2.91, 0.35 below their economy of 3.26 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1174 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,174 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.97, 0.29 below their economy of 3.26 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1212 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,212 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 21.8, 5.2 below their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 1296 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,296 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 44.9, 4.8 below their strike rate of 49.7 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1212 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,212 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 13.6, 13.4 below their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (-50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 536 balls bowled.
Sample: 536 balls · medium confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 13.6, 13.4 below their average of 27.0 on all balls bowled (-50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 536 balls bowled.
Sample: 536 balls · medium confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	94	75	3	25.00	79.79	69.1%	14.9%
Off break	88	75	2	37.50	85.23	58.0%	10.2%
Slow left-arm orthodox	80	38	4	9.50	47.50	72.5%	6.3%
Right-arm fast	65	19	1	19.00	29.23	83.1%	3.1%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	316	187	10	18.70	59.18	69.6%	7.3%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	1,174	569	21	27.10	2.91	55.9	72.7%	5.5%
Left-handed batters	566	377	14	26.93	4.00	40.4	60.2%	6.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	1,212	600	27	22.22	2.97	44.9	70.9%	5.4%
New ball (1-20)	402	252	8	31.50	3.76	50.3	62.4%	6.2%
Second new ball (81+)	126	94	0	–	4.48	–	66.7%	10.3%