Plans built only from the evidence.

Spin: average of 31.2, 4.2 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 721 balls faced.

Sample: 721 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 24.8, 10.7 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 418 balls faced.

Sample: 418 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 24.8, 10.7 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-30%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 418 balls faced.

Sample: 418 balls · medium confidence

Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 29.2, 6.2 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 276 balls faced.

Sample: 276 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 23.7, 11.7 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 26% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 250 balls faced.

Sample: 250 balls · medium confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 10 below their balls per dismissal of 49 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 423 balls faced.

Sample: 423 balls · medium confidence

Off break: average of 31.6, 3.8 below their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 440 balls faced.

Sample: 440 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 47.8, 24.8 below their strike rate of 72.6 on all balls faced (-34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 159 balls faced.

Sample: 159 balls · low confidence

Away from home: average of 43.9, 8.5 above their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 899 balls faced.

Sample: 899 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 41.4, 6.0 above their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 580 balls faced.

Sample: 580 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 57.0, 21.6 above their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (+61%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 369 balls faced.

Sample: 369 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 60.3, 24.9 above their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (+70%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 236 balls faced.

Sample: 236 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 64, 15 above their balls per dismissal of 49 on all balls faced (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 447 balls faced.

Sample: 447 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 42.6, 7.2 above their average of 35.4 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 401 balls faced.

Sample: 401 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 77.2, 4.6 above their strike rate of 72.6 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 369 balls faced.

Sample: 369 balls · medium confidence