Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 40.3, 7.6 below their strike rate of 48.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 868 balls faced.

Sample: 868 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 38, 9 below their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (-18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 533 balls faced.

Sample: 533 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 19.4, 2.9 below their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 868 balls faced.

Sample: 868 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 15.9, 6.4 below their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 479 balls faced.

Sample: 479 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 20.1, 2.2 below their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 704 balls faced.

Sample: 704 balls · high confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 38.5, 9.5 below their strike rate of 48.0 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 439 balls faced.

Sample: 439 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 59.0, 11.0 above their strike rate of 48.0 on all balls faced (+23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 612 balls faced.

Sample: 612 balls · high confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 53, 6 above their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 476 balls faced.

Sample: 476 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 56.2, 8.3 above their strike rate of 48.0 on all balls faced (+17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 393 balls faced.

Sample: 393 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 46.7, 24.3 above their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (+109%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 252 balls faced.

Sample: 252 balls · medium confidence

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 54, 7 above their balls per dismissal of 47 on all balls faced (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 482 balls faced.

Sample: 482 balls · high confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 57.6, 9.7 above their strike rate of 48.0 on all balls faced (+20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 354 balls faced.

Sample: 354 balls · medium confidence

West Indies: average of 37.0, 14.7 above their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 284 balls faced.

Sample: 284 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 30.3, 8.0 above their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 345 balls faced.

Sample: 345 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 25.5, 3.2 above their average of 22.3 on all balls faced (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 25% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 354 balls faced.

Sample: 354 balls · medium confidence