Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

H Masakadza, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Off break: average of 23.2, 6.8 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 574 balls faced.
Sample: 574 balls · high confidence
New Zealand: average of 13.0, 17.0 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-57%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 346 balls faced.
Sample: 346 balls · medium confidence
Off break: strike rate of 40.4, 5.0 below their strike rate of 45.4 on all balls faced (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 574 balls faced.
Sample: 574 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 42.2, 3.2 below their strike rate of 45.4 on all balls faced (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 29% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 971 balls faced.
Sample: 971 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 14.8, 15.1 below their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (-51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 183 balls faced.
Sample: 183 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Right-arm fast: average of 47.5, 17.5 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 520 balls faced.
Sample: 520 balls · high confidence
Right-arm fast: strike rate of 54.8, 9.4 above their strike rate of 45.4 on all balls faced (+21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 520 balls faced.
Sample: 520 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 50.3, 20.3 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 20% of comparable players (their median change: +22%) — 1710 balls faced.
Sample: 1,710 balls · high confidence
Bangladesh: average of 49.5, 19.5 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+65%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 1041 balls faced.
Sample: 1,041 balls · high confidence
Leg break: strike rate of 68.6, 23.2 above their strike rate of 45.4 on all balls faced (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 185 balls faced.
Sample: 185 balls · low confidence
Leg break: average of 63.5, 33.5 above their average of 30.0 on all balls faced (+112%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 185 balls faced.
Sample: 185 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Right-handed batters: average of 38.1, 6.0 above their average of 32.1 on all balls bowled (+19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 15% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 739 balls bowled.
Sample: 739 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 108.0, 33.9 above their strike rate of 74.1 on all balls bowled (+46%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 324 balls bowled.
Sample: 324 balls · low confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 2.91, 0.31 above their economy of 2.60 on all balls bowled (+12%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 299 balls bowled.
Sample: 299 balls · low confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Left-handed batters: average of 24.2, 8.0 below their average of 32.1 on all balls bowled (-25%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 299 balls bowled.
Sample: 299 balls · low confidence

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	1,016	455	16	28.44	44.78	76.0%	5.1%
Right-arm fast-medium	971	410	15	27.33	42.22	79.1%	5.8%
Off break	574	232	10	23.20	40.42	76.3%	4.5%
Right-arm fast	520	285	6	47.50	54.81	76.7%	8.5%
Leg break	185	127	2	63.50	68.65	60.5%	7.0%
Left-arm fast-medium	144	46	4	11.50	31.94	83.3%	4.9%
Left-arm fast	92	30	1	30.00	32.61	83.7%	5.4%
Right-arm medium	88	37	0	–	42.05	84.1%	6.8%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	739	305	8	38.13	2.48	92.4	78.1%	4.9%
Left-handed batters	299	145	6	24.17	2.91	49.8	75.3%	6.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	660	282	9	31.33	2.56	73.3	76.8%	4.5%
Second new ball (81+)	324	143	3	47.67	2.65	108.0	77.5%	6.2%

Old ball (21-80)	1,737	795	28	28.39	45.77	74.6%	5.4%
New ball (1-20)	1,652	737	24	30.71	44.61	80.1%	6.4%
Second new ball (81+)	241	117	3	39.00	48.55	71.0%	5.4%