Plans built only from the evidence.

Settling in (balls 16-40): balls per dismissal of 26, 14 below their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (-35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 409 balls faced.

Sample: 409 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 58.7, 3.8 below their strike rate of 62.5 on all balls faced (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 683 balls faced.

Sample: 683 balls · high confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 19.6, 5.1 below their average of 24.7 on all balls faced (-21%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 280 balls faced.

Sample: 280 balls · medium confidence

Leg break: strike rate of 56.3, 6.1 below their strike rate of 62.5 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 49, 10 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 492 balls faced.

Sample: 492 balls · high confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 51, 12 above their balls per dismissal of 40 on all balls faced (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 17% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 562 balls faced.

Sample: 562 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 65.8, 3.3 above their strike rate of 62.5 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 780 balls faced.

Sample: 780 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 51.0, 26.3 above their average of 24.7 on all balls faced (+106%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 249 balls faced.

Sample: 249 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 43.0, 18.3 above their average of 24.7 on all balls faced (+74%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 277 balls faced.

Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: strike rate of 77.6, 15.1 above their strike rate of 62.5 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 277 balls faced.

Sample: 277 balls · medium confidence

Pakistan: average of 37.5, 12.8 above their average of 24.7 on all balls faced (+52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 156 balls faced.

Sample: 156 balls · low confidence