Plans built only from the evidence.

Right-arm fast-medium: strike rate of 27.7, 8.0 below their strike rate of 35.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 321 balls faced.

Sample: 321 balls · medium confidence

Pace: average of 15.8, 4.5 below their average of 20.2 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 404 balls faced.

Sample: 404 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast-medium: average of 14.8, 5.4 below their average of 20.2 on all balls faced (-27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 321 balls faced.

Sample: 321 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 44, 13 below their balls per dismissal of 57 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 218 balls faced.

Sample: 218 balls · low confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 29.0, 8.8 above their average of 20.2 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 348 balls faced.

Sample: 348 balls · medium confidence

At home: average of 27.8, 7.5 above their average of 20.2 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 311 balls faced.

Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence

England: average of 27.8, 7.5 above their average of 20.2 on all balls faced (+37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 16% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 311 balls faced.

Sample: 311 balls · medium confidence