Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

Hasan Ali, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

Spin: average of 9.9, 2.1 below their average of 12.0 on all balls faced (-17%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 245 balls faced.
Sample: 245 balls · medium confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 10.1, 1.9 below their average of 12.0 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 263 balls faced.
Sample: 263 balls · medium confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 7.4, 4.6 below their average of 12.0 on all balls faced (-38%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 151 balls faced.
Sample: 151 balls · low confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Away from home: average of 13.0, 1.0 above their average of 12.0 on all balls faced (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 463 balls faced.
Sample: 463 balls · high confidence
Pace: average of 14.6, 2.6 above their average of 12.0 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 345 balls faced.
Sample: 345 balls · medium confidence
New at the crease (first 15 balls): balls per dismissal of 19, 1 above their balls per dismissal of 17 on all balls faced (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 427 balls faced.
Sample: 427 balls · medium confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Australia: average of 93.5, 65.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+233%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 773 balls bowled.
Sample: 773 balls · high confidence
At home: average of 37.8, 9.7 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+35%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 1012 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,012 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 3.42, 0.35 above their economy of 3.07 on all balls bowled (+11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1675 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,675 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.51, 0.44 above their economy of 3.07 on all balls bowled (+14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 771 balls bowled.
Sample: 771 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: average of 36.8, 8.7 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+31%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 16% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1675 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,675 balls · high confidence
New ball (1-20): strike rate of 69.5, 14.6 above their strike rate of 54.8 on all balls bowled (+27%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 1459 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,459 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 91.0, 62.9 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+224%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 395 balls bowled.
Sample: 395 balls · medium confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 42.3, 14.2 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+51%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 511 balls bowled.
Sample: 511 balls · medium confidence
South Africa: average of 44.5, 16.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (+58%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 17% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 390 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Slow left-arm orthodox	151	96	13	7.38	63.58	77.5%	9.3%
Right-arm fast-medium	146	79	10	7.90	54.11	70.5%	7.5%
Right-arm fast	117	81	5	16.20	69.23	70.1%	9.4%
Off break	78	74	6	12.33	94.87	73.1%	15.4%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	319	209	16	13.06	65.52	73.4%	9.4%
Second new ball (81+)	263	182	18	10.11	69.20	71.1%	9.9%

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	3,150	1,516	62	24.45	2.89	50.8	78.6%	6.8%
Left-handed batters	1,675	956	26	36.77	3.42	64.4	73.6%	7.8%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	2,595	1,253	48	26.10	2.90	54.1	77.5%	6.3%
New ball (1-20)	1,459	768	21	36.57	3.16	69.5	77.9%	8.2%
Second new ball (81+)	771	451	19	23.74	3.51	40.6	73.0%	7.9%

Batting against them: where they are strongest

Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.90, 0.18 below their economy of 3.07 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2595 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,595 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 2.89, 0.19 below their economy of 3.07 on all balls bowled (-6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 3150 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,150 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: average of 24.5, 3.6 below their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 13% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 3150 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,150 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 26.1, 2.0 below their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 3813 balls bowled.
Sample: 3,813 balls · high confidence
United Arab Emirates: average of 23.9, 4.2 below their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 26% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 797 balls bowled.
Sample: 797 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 40.6, 14.3 below their strike rate of 54.8 on all balls bowled (-26%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 28% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 771 balls bowled.
Sample: 771 balls · high confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 8.9, 19.2 below their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (-68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 302 balls bowled.
Sample: 302 balls · low confidence
Zimbabwe: average of 8.9, 19.2 below their average of 28.1 on all balls bowled (-68%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 8% of comparable players (their median change: -14%) — 302 balls bowled.
Sample: 302 balls · low confidence