Plans built only from the evidence.

Leg break: strike rate of 40.5, 16.5 below their strike rate of 57.0 on all balls faced (-29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 464 balls faced.

Sample: 464 balls · high confidence

Leg break: average of 23.5, 14.1 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-37%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 464 balls faced.

Sample: 464 balls · high confidence

At home: average of 28.8, 8.7 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1291 balls faced.

Sample: 1,291 balls · high confidence

Spin: average of 32.4, 5.2 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-14%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 14% of comparable players (their median change: +8%) — 994 balls faced.

Sample: 994 balls · high confidence

West Indies: average of 20.7, 16.9 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-45%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 5% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 265 balls faced.

Sample: 265 balls · medium confidence

South Africa: average of 28.8, 8.7 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 25% of comparable players (their median change: -12%) — 1291 balls faced.

Sample: 1,291 balls · high confidence

Off break: average of 30.6, 7.0 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-19%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 22% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 319 balls faced.

Sample: 319 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 15.4, 22.2 below their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (-59%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 2% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 48.7, 8.3 below their strike rate of 57.0 on all balls faced (-15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 158 balls faced.

Sample: 158 balls · low confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 95.5, 57.9 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+154%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 637 balls faced.

Sample: 637 balls · high confidence

Away from home: average of 46.5, 8.9 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 2346 balls faced.

Sample: 2,346 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 50.9, 13.4 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1767 balls faced.

Sample: 1,767 balls · high confidence

England: average of 53.6, 16.1 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 641 balls faced.

Sample: 641 balls · high confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 60.5, 3.5 above their strike rate of 57.0 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 12% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 1767 balls faced.

Sample: 1,767 balls · high confidence

Pakistan: average of 50.9, 13.4 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 1049 balls faced.

Sample: 1,049 balls · high confidence

Pace: average of 39.6, 2.1 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+6%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 22% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 2695 balls faced.

Sample: 2,695 balls · high confidence

England: average of 45.7, 8.1 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 686 balls faced.

Sample: 686 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 65.7, 28.1 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+75%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -5%) — 368 balls faced.

Sample: 368 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 58.5, 20.9 above their average of 37.6 on all balls faced (+56%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 392 balls faced.