Plans built only from the evidence.

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 38.1, 10.7 below their strike rate of 48.8 on all balls faced (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 4% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): average of 13.4, 14.7 below their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (-52%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 206 balls faced.

Sample: 206 balls · low confidence

Australia: average of 46.5, 18.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: -9%) — 364 balls faced.

Sample: 364 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): average of 68.5, 40.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+144%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 4% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 241 balls faced.

Sample: 241 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): average of 46.5, 18.4 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+66%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 244 balls faced.

Sample: 244 balls · medium confidence

Once set (40+ balls): balls per dismissal of 82, 24 above their balls per dismissal of 58 on all balls faced (+42%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 408 balls faced.

Sample: 408 balls · medium confidence

Right-arm fast: average of 34.3, 6.3 above their average of 28.1 on all balls faced (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -6%) — 217 balls faced.

Sample: 217 balls · low confidence