Strategy

Plans built only from the evidence.

Every line below is a measured split or record from the data, with the sample behind it. Nothing here is a prediction.

I Sharma, Men's Test

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Bowling to them: where to attack

At home: average of 7.2, 1.1 below their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 19% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 671 balls faced.
Sample: 671 balls · high confidence
Off break: strike rate of 26.6, 3.9 below their strike rate of 30.5 on all balls faced (-13%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 20% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 659 balls faced.
Sample: 659 balls · high confidence
Second new ball (81+): average of 7.5, 0.8 below their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 21% of comparable players (their median change: +6%) — 1380 balls faced.
Sample: 1,380 balls · high confidence
Slow left-arm orthodox: average of 5.0, 3.4 below their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (-40%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: +2%) — 231 balls faced.
Sample: 231 balls · medium confidence
England: average of 7.0, 1.4 below their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (-16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 606 balls faced.
Sample: 606 balls · high confidence
England: average of 6.7, 1.7 below their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (-20%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 458 balls faced.
Sample: 458 balls · high confidence

Bowling to them: what to avoid

Sri Lanka: average of 16.6, 8.3 above their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (+99%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 6% of comparable players (their median change: -3%) — 511 balls faced.
Sample: 511 balls · high confidence
Sri Lanka: average of 14.8, 6.4 above their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (+77%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 9% of comparable players (their median change: +4%) — 515 balls faced.
Sample: 515 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): average of 9.7, 1.3 above their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (+16%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 21% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1118 balls faced.
Sample: 1,118 balls · high confidence
Away from home: average of 8.8, 0.4 above their average of 8.4 on all balls faced (+5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 24% of comparable players (their median change: -4%) — 1884 balls faced.
Sample: 1,884 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they leak

Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.73, 0.58 above their economy of 3.15 on all balls bowled (+18%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 3% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 4532 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,532 balls · high confidence
Right-handed batters: economy of 3.37, 0.22 above their economy of 3.15 on all balls bowled (+7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 7% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 11261 balls bowled.
Sample: 11,261 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 48.5, 15.9 above their average of 32.7 on all balls bowled (+49%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 2727 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,727 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 43.5, 10.8 above their average of 32.7 on all balls bowled (+33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 23% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 2671 balls bowled.
Sample: 2,671 balls · high confidence
South Africa: average of 40.0, 7.3 above their average of 32.7 on all balls bowled (+22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 1510 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,510 balls · high confidence
Australia: average of 42.2, 9.5 above their average of 32.7 on all balls bowled (+29%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 30% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 4729 balls bowled.
Sample: 4,729 balls · high confidence

Batting against them: where they are strongest

West Indies: average of 18.6, 14.1 below their average of 32.7 on all balls bowled (-43%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: -10%) — 1545 balls bowled.
Sample: 1,545 balls · high confidence
Left-handed batters: economy of 2.84, 0.31 below their economy of 3.15 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 7827 balls bowled.
Sample: 7,827 balls · high confidence
Old ball (21-80): economy of 2.99, 0.16 below their economy of 3.15 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 8689 balls bowled.

Their batting against each bowling type and phase

Bowling type
Bowling type	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-arm fast-medium	871	268	37	7.24	30.77	82.4%	3.4%
Off break	659	175	21	8.33	26.56	83.0%	2.6%
Right-arm fast	295	106	12	8.83	35.93	78.6%	4.7%
Slow left-arm orthodox	231	60	12	5.00	25.97	87.9%	3.5%
Leg break	198	60	4	15.00	30.30	79.8%	2.5%
Left-arm fast-medium	154	68	4	17.00	44.16	77.3%	6.5%
Left-arm fast	103	25	3	8.33	24.27	85.4%	2.9%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Outs	Avg	SR	Dot %

Their bowling by batter hand and phase

Batter
Batter	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Right-handed batters	11,261	6,324	197	32.10	3.37	57.2	73.5%	7.7%
Left-handed batters	7,827	3,709	110	33.72	2.84	71.2	77.0%	6.0%

Phase
Phase	Balls	Runs	Wkts	Avg	Econ	Balls/wkt	Dot %	4s+6s %
Old ball (21-80)	8,689	4,336	132	32.85	2.99	65.8	75.6%	6.4%
New ball (1-20)	5,867	2,878	98	29.37	2.94	59.9	78.0%	6.6%
Second new ball (81+)	4,532	2,819	77	36.61	3.73	58.9	69.7%	8.5%

Second new ball (81+)	1,380	415	55	7.55	30.07	82.0%	3.6%
Old ball (21-80)	1,118	349	36	9.69	31.22	82.5%	3.3%