Plans built only from the evidence.

Left-handed batters: average of 42.3, 10.7 above their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (+34%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 18% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 854 balls bowled.

Sample: 854 balls · high confidence

New ball (1-20): strike rate of 174.0, 117.6 above their strike rate of 56.4 on all balls bowled (+208%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 1% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 522 balls bowled.

Sample: 522 balls · medium confidence

New ball (1-20): economy of 3.68, 0.32 above their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (+9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 12% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 522 balls bowled.

Sample: 522 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 47.4, 15.8 above their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (+50%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 24% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 606 balls bowled.

Sample: 606 balls · medium confidence

Australia: average of 75.7, 44.0 above their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (+139%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 13% of comparable players (their median change: +14%) — 342 balls bowled.

Sample: 342 balls · low confidence

Right-handed batters: average of 24.1, 7.6 below their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (-24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 5% of comparable players (their median change: -2%) — 782 balls bowled.

Sample: 782 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.14, 0.22 below their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (-7%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 782 balls bowled.

Sample: 782 balls · high confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.07, 0.30 below their economy of 3.36 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 11% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 401 balls bowled.

Sample: 401 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 33.4, 23.0 below their strike rate of 56.4 on all balls bowled (-41%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 14% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 401 balls bowled.

Sample: 401 balls · medium confidence

Old ball (21-80): strike rate of 50.9, 5.5 below their strike rate of 56.4 on all balls bowled (-10%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 713 balls bowled.

Sample: 713 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 24.2, 7.4 below their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (-23%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 23% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 376 balls bowled.

Sample: 376 balls · medium confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 28.2, 3.5 below their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (-11%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 29% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 719 balls bowled.

Sample: 719 balls · medium confidence

New Zealand: average of 21.3, 10.3 below their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (-33%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 15% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 247 balls bowled.

Sample: 247 balls · low confidence

England: average of 24.7, 7.0 below their average of 31.6 on all balls bowled (-22%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 19% of comparable players (their median change: +7%) — 326 balls bowled.

Sample: 326 balls · low confidence