Plans built only from the evidence.

Left-handed batters: economy of 4.04, 0.53 above their economy of 3.51 on all balls bowled (+15%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 11% of comparable players (their median change: +1%) — 938 balls bowled.

Sample: 938 balls · high confidence

Australia: average of 103.2, 63.0 above their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (+157%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 6% of comparable players (their median change: +12%) — 459 balls bowled.

Sample: 459 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 84.0, 43.8 above their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (+109%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 8% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 576 balls bowled.

Sample: 576 balls · medium confidence

Sri Lanka: average of 49.9, 9.6 above their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (+24%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the bottom 28% of comparable players (their median change: -0%) — 1242 balls bowled.

Sample: 1,242 balls · high confidence

Right-handed batters: economy of 3.34, 0.17 below their economy of 3.51 on all balls bowled (-5%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 18% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 2987 balls bowled.

Sample: 2,987 balls · high confidence

India: average of 21.4, 18.9 below their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (-47%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 1% of comparable players (their median change: +11%) — 570 balls bowled.

Sample: 570 balls · medium confidence

India: average of 25.9, 14.3 below their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (-36%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: +5%) — 712 balls bowled.

Sample: 712 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): strike rate of 41.7, 27.1 below their strike rate of 68.9 on all balls bowled (-39%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 7% of comparable players (their median change: -11%) — 584 balls bowled.

Sample: 584 balls · medium confidence

Second new ball (81+): economy of 3.20, 0.31 below their economy of 3.51 on all balls bowled (-9%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 10% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 584 balls bowled.

Sample: 584 balls · medium confidence

United Arab Emirates: average of 16.2, 24.0 below their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 2% of comparable players (their median change: +3%) — 330 balls bowled.

Sample: 330 balls · low confidence

Pakistan: average of 16.2, 24.0 below their average of 40.2 on all balls bowled (-60%) — allowing for sample size, that change is in the top 3% of comparable players (their median change: -1%) — 330 balls bowled.

Sample: 330 balls · low confidence